16 Years Providing Weekly Foresight

 

The most accurate predictive letter in computing and telecommunications,
read by industry leaders worldwide.

 

 

 

In This Issue     Feature: Making Accurate Predictions   Seeing the World Today Horizontal Planes Not for the Faint-Hearted Seeing Tomorrow Pattern Recognition The Trick   Quotes of the Week   Upgrades   What China Is Not Sayonara, Howard   Ethermail   Upcoming SNS Events & Media Links   In Other House News   New Members' Welcome How to Subscribe May I Share This Newsletter? About SNS About the Publisher Where's Mark?

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The SNS Favorite Book Selection of the Week: America the Vulnerable: Inside the New Threat Matrix of Digital Espionage, Crime, and Warfare; by Joel Brenner (Penguin Group Inc.).

 

 

 

Register now for the SNS Future in Review Conference, and capture the final discounted pricing before it rises to full retail. FiRe is now in its 10th year, May 22-25, again at the incredible Montage Laguna Beach Hotel:

 

www.futureinreview.com

 

 

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» Making Accurate Predictions  

 

Today, we are using smartphones for e-Commerce (SNS e-phones); for location-based advertising and services, we turn for maps and mashups to Google Earth (SNS Earth II); and we increasingly do so on pads (SNS CarryAlongs). All of these new behaviors and services come from increased bandwidth (SNS AORTA). 

 

Around us, we see Europe disintegrating (see SNS on Europe since the Maastricht Treaty), currencies manipulated (see SNS on Currency Wars), a cleanly split U.S. economy (predicted a year before it happened), and the dramatic rise in tension between China and the U.S. caused by the former's organized theft of Intellectual Property.

 

This is the "real world," portrayed, if you like, by daily headlines in the global press.  But this is also the world that SNS members have been aware of, usually years before those headlines came to pass.

 

Last week, we ran a Special Letter on Futurism, after which I grumbled about assumptions and promised to renew my writing of a decade or so ago on what we do here, and how we do it.

 

This isn't the easiest of vocations or skills; without knowing how to measure, it may be among the most difficult. It is certainly trainable and learnable, at least to a degree, and those interested may almost certainly improve their accuracy rating.