In This Issue Vol. 25 Issue 11

WHO DO YOU TRUST? WHAT HAPPENS NEXT? •      No China Model •      What Happens Next? •      Trusting the Experts? •      Everyone Gets It? •      Just How Serious Is COVID-19? •      Are We Overreacting? •      Masking Manipulation •      What Happens Next? •      The Timetable THE VIRAL ECONOMY QUOTES OF THE WEEK THE INVNT/IP DIGEST ETHERMAIL SNS EVENTS •      FiReSide 2020 •      Future in Review 2020 WHERE'S MARK?

WHO DO YOU TRUST?
WHAT HAPPENS NEXT?

By Mark Anderson

No China Model

Today, it would appear that everyone in the world is making their plans based on data from the China model in dealing with COVID-19.  But there are two problems with this universal approach:

1. The Chinese Communist Party is lying and withholding data; and
2. There is therefore little or no reliable Chinese data.

Under these conditions, the world cannot continue to base global and country planning on numbers and timetables that are, at best - if we are to be generous - fictitious.

Business and political leaders, heads of family, and concerned individuals are all currently stymied by a lack of information, and therefore an inability to properly plan.

In short, while all are obsessing over the detailed arguments about R₀ (see "SNS: It Isn't Just the Virus: Financial Impacts of R₀," 2/7/20), mortality rates, and the number of ACE2 sites carried by Asian vs. non-Asian victims, they really just have one overriding question:

What Happens Next?

In this week's discussion, I'll do my best to provide objective answers that are useful for planning and based upon limited, but trustworthy, data.