SNS: GOOD MORNING, VIETNAM: THE PRECARIOUS RISE OF AN ASIAN TIGER


SNS GLOBAL REPORT

 

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SNS Subscriber Edition

Special Alert

Friday, October 31st, 2025

 

SNS SPECIAL ALERT
Pivot Into Chaos

 

To Our Members:

For the many SNS members who travel, you likely have noticed a recent increase in virtually every type of aggravation and delay. Alaska Airlines just had its third IT outage in recent times, leaving thousands of passengers stranded here and there, after a lifetime of dependable service. (The company claimed it was not hacked, but I'm reserving my vote on this.) Entire airports have been closed, from Newark to Denver to Heathrow and more in some cases, multiple times. (The US government says this was due to a shortage of air-traffic controllers, which certainly exists, but somehow like Alaska Air was no problem until, suddenly, it was lots of problems.) In recent days, both Amazon's AWS cloud and Microsoft's Azure cloud have gone down, again for foggy reasons. 

The "pattern people" among you may have started noticing a higher layer of weird connections, such as the timing of such problems right after allies do something nice for Ukraine. But in other cases, there does not seem to be any apparent reason, even though all of these (and many, many other system crashes) have this recent time frame in common. 

I am sending out this alert, under this title, because: a) I do not think these events are random; and b) I do not think things are going to revert to what we until now would have called "the norm," but rather are going to get much, much worse. Even more important, although I used travel as an example, I also don't think any social or economic sector will escape this trend.

As far as I can tell, there are two likely, and related, sources for these increasingly chaotic states. First among them is the open-source release of large language models (LLMs) by Mark Zuckerberg and Meta, followed by everyone else doing the same in response. Specifically, you may have noticed China immediately using Meta's release (fulfilling an earlier SNS annual prediction) and then, as usual, stealing more of this tech from OpenAI and others and then using its own versions as a party gift for new partners joining their CRINK (SNS's name for China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea) alliance.

Today, headlines abound each morning about systems down, matched by the ability of LLMs to quickly find hundreds of new Zero Day vulnerabilities, matched by the discovery of mammoth bot armies. And you may have already asked yourself: Exactly how much damage could a 24-million-bot army do running agentic LLMs using hundreds of Zero Day attack discoveries, when cut loose on the internet? Now you get it. 

If you are wondering who would do such a stupid thing, the answer is: anyone who wants to. It's easy, and it's free. We might as well give OpenAI CEO Sam Altman credit for his role in this tragicomedy, for shipping an LLM product known to be dangerous, apparently without informing his board, after years of restraint by the inventors at Google and elsewhere. 

But there are two answers here; the second is that CRINK would use this weapon set as part of its increasingly hot All Fronts War. You might ask, for example, when was the last time a helicopter and a fighter plane both went into the sea at the same time off the same carrier? You'll excuse me if I'm not buying Trump's "must have been bad fuel" explanation. But then, I wasn't buying such blather when two US Navy ships collided near Japan a while ago, either, before Russia's GPS spoofing became a global problem. 

Today, all of the intel agencies are aware of Russian sabotage and assassination programs in the EU, and of Russia's attempt to use exploding DHL cargo planes as weapons against the West. Certainly someone in the Pentagon must be trying to connect the dots on the recent munitions explosion in Tennessee and the refinery explosion in California, and, and, and So, state actors from CRINK and elsewhere is the second answer to who would use this trifecta cyber weapon. 

If I am right about the timing, frequency, and source of this global systemic destabilization program (and I really, really hope I'm wrong), things are going to pivot very quickly into a state of relative, and then quite universal, chaos. It won't be that you can't catch a plane, or ship a package, or use your bank it will just be that you won't be able to count on things working as they should. As with LLMs alone, you will have been deprived of your trust in things being dependable and trustworthy. But in this case, if I'm right, we'll be pivoting into something a lot more like complete chaos. After all, that is the entire point and intended outcome of China's and now CRINK's All Fronts War. 

I really, really hope I'm wrong. 

 

Your comments are always welcome.

Mark Anderson

CEO, Strategic News Service



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