SNS: TOP 10 PREDICTIONS FOR 2026
 

 

"Next Year's News This Week"

SNS TOP 10 PREDICTIONS FOR 2026

By Mark Anderson

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As SNS members are aware, we have just released our Top 10 Predictions for 2026 at our annual Predictions event, for the first time held live in Seattle; you can view a recording of that session soon as a benefit of your membership.

Because we'll be sharing the complete recorded event - together with discussions and Q&A - I'm refraining here from transcribing or converting all of my thoughts on the economic, technological, and country landscapes upon which these predictions are based.

Rather, in this issue I've outlined a greater number of predictions in all these areas, in the hopes that this is more useful to our members.

As in 2025's Predictions recap, the idea here is to move from a detail-driven, very long conversation to getting the main points across and allowing enough intellectual breathing room for members to stop often, digest, make inner comments and arguments, compare with their own ideas of what's coming, and reach useful solutions.

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THEME FOR 2026:
"Accelerated Instability"

We'll be covering these megatrends:

  • AI Devolution: The True Costs and Benefits of LLMs
  • The Three Great Powers: Today's Instability and Its Sources
  • Next-Generation Everything: Tech and the Second Law

As foretold by last year's theme - "The CRINK Effect: A Two-Front World in an All-Fronts War" - 2025 has seen the rapid devolution from China's all-fronts economic global attacks against the West, abetted via its CRINK alliance members, into a series of kinetic attacks, with expanded effort in all other domains. Following Russia's long-term focus on tearing down the opposition (vs. winning for its own benefit), the West has also turned to an increasing number of kinetic responses around the globe. With China, Russia, and the US fighting one another on every front, from AI to currencies, we are now in a new global era of three-power instability, further degraded by the worldwide deployment of unreliable AI systems.

Here are the Landscapes, followed by the Top 10 Predictions for the year ahead.